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Coinbase is poised to benefit from U.S. spot ether exchange-traded funds, if they are approved, according to JMP Securities. The turnaround sent ether soaring more than 20% to start the week. ETH.CM= 5D mountain Ether 5-day chart JMP's Devin Ryan said in a note Wednesday that Coinbase could see benefits to its transaction, custody and staking businesses as a result of the introduction of ether ETFs. He also said an ether ETF approval does not necessarily signal a blessing by the SEC of the broader crypto asset class, or even comfort around all ETH use cases, such as staking. JMP has an outperform rating on Coinbase and a price target of $320, implying nearly 42% upside from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Coinbase, Devin Ryan, Ryan, JMP Organizations: JMP Securities, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Fidelity, Management Locations: Base, BlackRock
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Defense experts say that an aggressive Chinese coercion campaign, short of war but still threatening, is more likely than a full-scale invasion and the US needs to prepare for such an event. Economic and diplomatic pressure is notable, and Chinese misinformation operations and the potential to slowly set up a blockade of Taiwan are also concerns. Annabelle Chih/Getty ImagesThe report identifies four things key to resisting Chinese coercion. CM-11 tanks fire artillery during the 2-day live-fire drill, amid intensifying threats military from China, in Pingtung county, Taiwan, 7 September 2022.
Persons: , Han, Annabelle Chih, MANDY CHENG, Lai Ching, Lai, Ceng Shou Yi, John Aquilano, Xi, Aquilano, Carlos Del Toro, Frank Kendall Organizations: Service, Business, American Enterprise Institute, Institute for, Liberation Army, PLA, AEI, Cobra, Getty, Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan, Getty Images, US, Pacific Command, US Armed Services, Air Force, Department of Defense Locations: Taiwan, China, Pingtung, US, Pacific, Hualien, AFP, Pingtung county, Guam, Japan
"It could take three to five months for bitcoin to re-test recent highs," H.C. Wainwright analyst Mike Colonnese told CNBC. BTC.CM= 3M mountain Bitcoin has fallen 11% this quarter Bitcoin miners offer high beta exposure to bitcoin and have historically outperformed it during bull cycles, he added. Colonnese also pointed out that corrections between 25% and 30% are "par for the course" for bitcoin, even in bull cycles. "Looking at previous price cycles, bitcoin has historically peaked between one to one and a half years after a halving event with the bull stage running longer in each subsequent cycle," Colonnese said. "Assuming a similar duration for this bull stage of the price cycle, bitcoin may not reach its cycle peak until October 2025," Colonnese added.
Persons: it's, bitcoin, Wainwright, Mike Colonnese, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Colonnese, Bitcoin, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, Metrics, CNBC, Wolfe Research
CNN —A star player for Malaysia’s soccer team is in “critical but stable condition” after an acid attack that left him with fourth-degree burns, officials said late Tuesday. Malaysian soccer officials said Faisal Halim’s movement and speech had been affected and he would require more surgery. Halim, who plays as an attacker for Selangor Football Club as well as Malaysia’s national team, was taken to a nearby private hospital in the capital, while still conscious. He had suffered severe burns to his face, neck, shoulders, hands and chest, officials add. Specialist doctors on Tuesday concluded that Halim had suffered fourth-degree burns, not second-degree burns as previously thought, said officials from the Football Association of Selangor.
Persons: Faisal Halim’s, Halim, “ Faisal, Mokhtar, , ” Mokhtar, , Akhyar Rashid, Anwar Ibrahim, Anwar, ” Halim Organizations: CNN, Malaysian, Selangor Football Club, Football Association of Selangor, Motive, Football Association of Malaysia, Malaysia’s, AFC Asian, Qatar —, South, Kyrgyzstan, Selangor, Malaysia, Liga Locations: Kuala Lumpur, Malaysian, Malaysia, Halim, Qatar, South Korea
With bitcoin finally breaking below that support level at $60k this week, we see much further downside potential before the long-term uptrend resumes. You may also notice the breakdown below an ascending 50-day moving average during the second week in April. Going into May, bitcoin is making lower lows and lower highs, and now sits below a downward-sloping 50-day moving average. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin, 1-year Where could we expect potential support if the downtrend continues? The 200-day moving average is right around there, and big round numbers like $50k and $60k have often served as important thresholds for the cryptocurrency.
Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, It's, David Keller Organizations: RSI, CMT
Retail dollars flowed out of bitcoin ETFs in April, and investors should adopt a cautious stance on the cryptocurrency for now, according to JPMorgan. "The past two weeks saw significant selling/profit taking with perhaps retail investors playing a bigger role than institutional investors," JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in a note Thursday. "Indeed, not only have spot bitcoin ETFs seen outflows in April but our proxies of the retail impulse into equities have also downshifted over the past month." Panigirtzoglou noted that in addition to crypto, retail investors also sold equities in April and that the impulse into stocks has also shifted down. "This is shown by … the net flow into equity funds including ETFs and mutual funds, typically used by retail investors … [which] turned negative in April after strong buying in February and March," he said.
Persons: JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzoglou, cryptocurrencies Organizations: JPMorgan, Metrics, Investors, Federal
The bitcoin sell-off could get worse before it gets better, according to analysts who look only at price charts. The downtrend intensified on Wednesday when it tumbled under the $60,000 level for the first time since February, as stubborn inflation and uncertainty around Federal Reserve interest rate policy kept markets under pressure. That was a key support level for bitcoin, representing the approximate convergence of the March low and 100-day moving average, according to Ari Wald, an analyst at Oppenheimer. Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg said $60,000 bitcoin looks "vulnerable" and that $50,000 could be in play. Bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $74,000 since mid-March, when the cryptocurrency reached new records and has failed multiple times to break out.
Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, It's, bitcoin, David Keller, Wald, Keller, Geoff Kendrick, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, , Michael Bloom, Rob Ginsberg's Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
It is aiming to be the first high-income country to reach net zero emissions in 2035 and net negative by 2040. Denmark, which the World Happiness Report recognized as the world's second-happiest country, is targeting net zero by 2045 — and net negative by 2050. Thierry Monasse | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesDanish Climate Minister Lars Aagaard said the need for negative emissions was clear. He added that Denmark's ability to achieve net negative emissions would hinge upon policies implemented over the next five to seven years. Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images
Persons: Sergei Gapon, Thierry Monasse, Lars Aagaard, Denmark's Aagaard, , Stefano Guidi, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Kai Mykkänen, Mykkänen, Moscow … Organizations: Afp, Getty, Atlantic ., Agriculture Ministers, CNBC, Lars Aagaard Danish Climate, United Arab Emirates, Union, Nationalist, Former U.S, Finnish Climate Locations: Copenhagen, Denmark, Atlantic, Atlantic . Finland, Finland, Brussels, Belgium, Lars Aagaard Danish, Panama, Europe, Germany, France, Turin, Italy, U.S, November's, Paris, Finnish, Helsinki, Montreal, Beijing, Moscow, of Finland, Neva Guba
Bitcoin's seven-month rally is on pause heading into May, now that two key catalysts investors had been closely watching this year – the bitcoin ETFs and the halving – are now behind them. The flagship cryptocurrency has fallen nearly 14% in April, according to Coin Metrics, and is on pace to post its first negative month in eight, and its worst month since November 2022, when FTX collapsed. However, it's proved to be a winning month in the previous halving years of 2012, 2016 and 2020. On Tuesday, Hong Kong bitcoin ETFs began trading. "Whether it's the next month or two months, you'll start to see more wealth management firms approve the ETF on their platforms.
Persons: FTX, It's, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, Trenchev, it's, Lyn Alden, Swan, Jerome Powell, there's, Alden, Devin Ryan, you'll Organizations: Metrics, Lyn, Lyn Alden Investment, Federal Reserve, JMP Securities Locations: bitcoin, U.S, Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, South Korea
"Bitcoin continues to demonstrate its inability to successfully get through that stubborn $70k resistance level," Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg said in a note Wednesday. "It reminds us of another group that has been unable to overcome its own resistance level ... small caps," he continued. Now, bitcoin has retested its highs while small caps have barely proved they can stay above $2,000 in [the Russell 2000 ]." BTC.CM= .RUT 6M mountain Bitcoin and Russell 2000 Bitcoin has been meandering in the $60,000 level since the beginning of March. All of the major stock indexes are down for the month, and the small-cap Russell 2000 is tracking for a deeper loss of about 6%.
Persons: Bitcoin, Rob Ginsberg, bitcoin, Russell, Ginsberg, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve
Citi says it may be too early to classify bitcoin as "digital gold" despite its safe haven properties and recent correlation with the yellow metal. Many bitcoin fans regard the cryptocurrency as a digital version of gold because of its finite supply and its function as a store of value. Citi analyst Alex Saunders acknowledged that it can and has displayed both safe haven and risk asset behaviors, but said the digital gold analogy isn't yet warranted. Bitcoin does not yet exhibit the 'store-of-value' properties of gold, despite both being limited-supply, zero-coupon-bearing instruments." "Adoption of the emergent blockchain technology will be key to the long-term utility of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies," he added.
Persons: Alex Saunders, , Saunders, bitcoin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi Locations: East
Bitcoin 's gold-like ability to resist any form of seizure makes it a valuable asset for the long term, according to BCA Research, which calls for the world's largest cryptocurrency to eventually rally to more than $100,000. "The bitcoin price will rise well into the $100,000s as the market value for non-confiscatability grows substantially and bitcoin's share of this market grows substantially," Montreal-based BCA Research said. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin Bitcoin hit a new all-time high above $73,000 on March 14, rising more than 70% this year. The introduction of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs this year and the tightening bitcoin supply ahead of the late April " halving " have driven the price of the cryptocurrency up. "The sharp recent rallies in both gold and bitcoin reflect that the market has suddenly upped the value of non-confiscatability," BCA said.
Persons: Bitcoin, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, bitcoin, Bullion, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BCA Research, Research, BCA Locations: Montreal
Russia declared an emergency in the Orenburg region near Kazakhstan after the Ural River, Europe’s third longest river, swelled several meters in hours on Friday, and burst through a dam embankment in the city of Orsk. Some are also unhappy that the dam embankment built in 2010 was unable to defend their city. An aerial view shows the scale of flooding in the city of Orsk, Orenburg Region, Russia. The Ural River rises in the Ural Mountains and flows into the Caspian Sea. The mayor of Orenburg, Sergei Salmin, said the Ural River was expected to break the previous record of 9.46 meters.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, “ Putin, Denis Pasler, , ” Pasler, Vladimir Astapkovich, Putin, Alexander Kurenkov, Kurenkov’s, Alexander Moor, Sergei Salmin, ” Salmin, Vadim Shumkov, Organizations: Reuters, Tass, Russia’s Emergencies Ministry, AP Emergency, Orsk, ” Tass Locations: Russia, Orenburg, Kazakhstan, Orsk, Moscow, Orenburg Region, Kurgan, Tyumen, Siberia, Tyumen region, Western Siberia, Ural
Some bitcoin miners won't survive when the upcoming halving slashes their revenue in half, but the ones that do survive will thrive, and Rosenblatt Securities says TeraWulf is its top pick in the category. The firm initiated coverage of the bitcoin miner with a buy rating and $4.20 price target Tuesday. Mining stocks like TeraWulf offer amplified exposure to the bitcoin price, with enhanced returns during bull cycles but increased volatility in bear markets. TeraWulf's estimated cost to mine a bitcoin this year is about $25,000 ahead of the halving and $37,000 after. Miners have been hard at work to enhance their fleet efficiency and lower their operating costs — largely power costs.
Persons: WULF, Rosenblatt, Andrew Bond, Bond, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Rosenblatt Securities, Metrics Locations: Maryland, U.S
"Bitcoin & Nasdaq 100 reflect the speculative fever fostered by cheap money after dovish Fed pivots, such as occurred 4Q 2023," Bannister said. Shortly after, on March 28, the S & P 500 reached a new intraday all-time high . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD If was indeed its peak, that could mean a weaker Nasdaq 100 for six months, Bannister said. Additionally the S & P 500, which is cap weighted, could struggle against the equal-weight S & P 500 for about six months. "When the equal-weighted S & P 500 out-performs the S & P 500, then value tends to out-perform growth," he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Nasdaq, Big Tech Nasdaq
Hedge fund billionaire and New York Mets owner Steve Cohen said he owns "very little" bitcoin, though he didn't specify its value. "My son is really into it, and he had me play around and try to figure out how to transact on Coinbase," Cohen told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday. Still, he appears to be following along with investors across the world who have been trying to understand how to value bitcoin and whether it belongs in a portfolio. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin (BTC) over the past year Cohen also made the point that bitcoin represents just a slice of the broader market of cryptocurrencies and the opportunities for their underlying blockchain technology. "Bitcoin is separate from crypto ... ultimately, it's about use case – will crypto develop use cases?"
Persons: Steve Cohen, Cohen, CNBC's, it's, There's Organizations: New York Mets, Point72 Asset Management, Point72 Ventures, SEC Locations: cryptocurrencies
The most important driver in second quarter for bitcoin and crypto, however, could be the Federal Reserve decision on interest rate cuts. Traders are now pricing in a roughly 61% chance of a first Fed rate cut taking place in June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Demand has increased from 40,000 bitcoin at the start of the year to 213,000 bitcoin currently, largely driven by ETF buying ahead of the late April Bitcoin halving, according to CryptoQuant. However, the SEC's decision on whether or not to allow spot ether ETFs to trade, due in May, will "very likely" be market moving, he added. "If it's not priced in today, then it very likely will be a market moving event if it happens," he said.
Persons: Bitcoin, Zach Pandl, Pandl, , bitcoin, Julio Moreno, Chris Kuiper, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal, Metrics, Fidelity Digital Assets, CNBC, Fidelity, SEC Locations: U.S, BlackRock
Gold has a chance to charge ahead of bitcoin as the flagship cryptocurrency hovers around the $70,000 level, according to Wolfe Research. However, bitcoin has also been mirroring its own moves from 2021, when the cryptocurrency rocketed twice to all-time highs, just before a deep pullback. "The gold vs. bitcoin ratio is nearing support while oversold on a weekly basis," said Ginsberg. "If our feeling on bitcoin is correct, and it continues to consolidate in this $60,000–$73,000 region, it may provide a good opportunity for gold to start outperforming." It has since returned to its highs and looks ready to reaccelerate, Ginsberg said, although selling pressure "has historically come on strong above $70,000."
Persons: bitcoin, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Wolfe Research Locations: bitcoin, U.S
If you're looking for your bitcoin to go to the moon, the window of opportunity may be slowly closing, according to BlackRock. "Certainly, returns going forward will come down," he said at the Bitcoin Investor Day conference in New York City Friday. That demand was "massive and clear" in 2023, when BlackRock filed to launch its iShares Bitcoin Trust. "I don't think we've seen the end of cycles in bitcoin," Mitchnick said. "[With] bitcoin, when the price goes up, the probabilities of success and adoption in some senses, as digital gold, are also changing," he said.
Persons: Robert Mitchnick, It's, , Mitchnick, CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: BlackRock Locations: BlackRock, New York, @GC
Bitcoin is more like digital gold than a so-called "risk-on" asset, according to Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock's digital assets lead. For years, bitcoin's ability to behave in different ways at different times has stumped investors . "Historically bitcoin's long-term average correlation [to stocks] has been close to zero – slightly positive, but close to zero," he said. While the recent rally was spurred by the launch of U.S. bitcoin ETFs, some on Wall Street have suggested that it may have recently fused into the more macroeconomic-fueled gold rally . Risk and portfolio construction That, understandably, adds confusion for newcomers to bitcoin investing, who are drawn to its digital gold-like qualities.
Persons: Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock's, bitcoin, It's, Bitcoin, bitcoin rocketed, Mitchnick Organizations: New York City, Fed, BlackRock Locations: New York
Like tech stocks, bitcoin sometimes benefits from low interest rates and improved market liquidity, which can lead to better sentiment and greater investment in growth assets. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bitcoin turns higher after two days of losses"There has been an inverse relationship between rates and bitcoin price," said Oppenheimer executive director Owen Lau. "When the Fed increased interest rates in 2022, it took out liquidity from the market, which impacted bitcoin and tech stocks. When the Fed cuts rates, it provides liquidity to the market, which should benefit risky assets such as bitcoin. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all closed at record highs after the Fed meeting wrapped up.
Persons: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, Cryptocurrencies, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, It's, Ether, Solana, dogecoin, MicroStrategy, CleanSpark, bitcoin, We've, Vijay Ayyar Organizations: Getty, Metrics, Federal, Polygon's, Iris Energy, Marathon, JPMorgan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC
The excitement around the arrival of bitcoin ETFs and the subsequent surge to new highs for the cryptocurrency is making even bitcoin bulls raise their expectations. "We raise our long-held price estimate to the USD 150,000 level from USD 100,000 given the more rapid pass-through from ETF inflows to the BTC price to date," the note said. The new bitcoin ETFs have pulled in billions of dollars from investors since their January launch, even with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust seeing heavy outflows. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has raked in more than $12 billion on its own, according to FactSet. The quick growth of the bitcoin ETFs has boosted confidence that there are more investors interested in crypto who have been reluctant to buy it through crypto exchanges.
Persons: Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick Organizations: BTC, Metrics, bitcoin Locations: Bitcoin
Whether you're a longtime crypto investor or recently purchased digital assets, here are some key things to know from crypto tax experts. For 2023, there's a "digital assets" question on the front page of Form 1040, along with returns for estates and trusts, partnerships, corporations and S corporations. Andrew Gordon President of Gordon Law Group"Yes-or-no questions are quite powerful," said Andrew Gordon, tax attorney, certified public accountant and president of Gordon Law Group. However, the 2023 digital assets question does not apply to bitcoin futures ETFs or spot bitcoin ETFs, he said. How crypto tax reporting works
Persons: Cryptocurrency, Matt Metras, Andrew Gordon President, Andrew Gordon, Gordon, They're Organizations: IRS, MDM Financial, Gordon Law, Gordon Law Group
Across much of America and especially in the normally chilly north, the country went through the winter months without, well, winter. The Lower 48 states averaged 37.6 degrees (3.1 degrees Celsius), which is 5.4 degrees (3 degrees Celsius) above average. But Iowa blew past its warmest February by 2 degrees, while parts of Minnesota were 20 degrees warmer than average for all of February, Gleason said. A strong ridge of high pressure kept the eastern United States warm and dry, while California kept getting hit with atmospheric rivers, she said. Winter weather expert Cohen, who is based outside of Boston, joked that the U.S. no longer has four seasons: "We have two seasons.
Persons: , El Nino, , Jeff Masters, Masters, Karin Gleason, Gleason, Copernicus, Judah Cohen, Cohen, ” Cohen, Theresa Crimmins, weren’t, Crimmins, ” Crimmins, Patrick Whittle, ___ Read, Seth Borenstein Organizations: National Phenology Network, El, Climate, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental, Iowa, El Nino, Associated Press, Atmospheric Environmental Research, National Weather Service, Rutgers Snow Lab Locations: America, Colorado, New Jersey, Texas, Carolinas, U.S, Michigan, United States, Minnesota, Great, California, El, That's, Boston, Europe, Asia, Fort Kent, Maine, Portland , Maine, AP.org
In the worst-case scenario, the collision would have ejected 7,500 bits of debris into low-Earth orbit. Satellite collisions are becoming more likely as the amount of space junk in low-Earth orbit grows. Even the tiniest debris can damage the space station and endanger astronauts, though no astronaut has lost their life due to space debris (yet). The race to clean up spaceThe consequences of space debris are very real, so much so, that the worst-case scenario has a name: Kessler syndrome. TransAstra's capture bags could help solve Earth's space debris problem.
Persons: , LeoLabs, Darren McKnight, NASA ODPO, Kessler, Astroscale Organizations: Service, Space, NASA, European Space Agency, Federal Communications Commission, Dish Locations: Russia, India
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